![]() Yac: The distance between point of reception and the spot of the football at the end of the play. well, other than passes + 20 air yardsĪy/c: The distance between the line of scrimmage to the point of reception.Ĭpoe: Completion % over an expected amount based on game situation (air yards, down, distance, field position etc.) I don’t have a time to throw number this week because Wentz threw so few passes that Next Gen Stats didn’t bother to publish it. Survey says, XXX.Ī 41.6% completion rate is bad no matter how much you adjust it, but just to confirm, his adjusted rate of -25.5% cpoe was terrible. The upper right quadrant is where you want your wide receivers to be. His season long yards per attempt drops to 22nd with the 21st shortest air yards per attempt. He attempted longer passes, he just couldn’t complete them. For attempts greater than 5 yards in distance, he completed as many to the NE as he did to Colt receivers. He only had 5 completions, so walking through the details seems pointless. This was by far his worst game as a Colt and continues the trend of never knowing who is going to show up each week. His epa efficiency was even worse as only Mike Glennon added less value per drop-back than Wentz. That winds up being a 35.7% success rate and unfortunately, that is not the worst that Wentz has done this year (week 7 34.4%, week 3 32.5% ). Out of 14 drop-backs this week, Wentz only had 5 positive value plays. The chart on the right is the season performance and Wentz his trying his hardest to be the most average QB in the league. If you are having trouble finding Wentz, look as far to the left and towards the bottom as you can. Good performances are found towards the right and the top. The chart on the left compares QB performances from week 15. OK, now on to this week’s ridiculousness. His passing success rate ranks a bit lower at 20th (46.5% psr), so his efficiency depends a bit more on explosive plays than other QBs. ![]() On the other hand, less than a third of his passes translate to first downs, which is near the bottom quartile of QBs (24th 1st%) and is a considerable drag on his overall value.Īll of this combines into a 17th ranked efficiency (0.10 epa/d), which means he delivers basically average value per drop-back. He does not turn the ball over often (28th to%) and he throws a good amount of TDs (12th td%). He does so via scrambles and throwaways rather than taking sacks (14th scr%, 14th ta%, 24th sk%) and because he manages pressure well, this boosts his 22nd yardage efficiency rank to 19th on a per drop-back basis (6.2 ny/d). Even when facing above average pressure, he abandons pass attempts less than the average QB (20th aa%). He faces the 8th most pressure (36.7% pr%), but relative to his 11th ranked time to throw, that is not unusual. However, those measures are diluted by Wentz’s very poor accuracy (28th cpoe), which drags his yardage efficiency down to 7.0 yards per attempt (22nd). ![]() His average completion depth is 5.8 air yards, which is right near the league midpoint (16th ay/c) and his receivers provide about average yac (14th yac, 16th yacoe). He doesn’t attempt deep passes very often (23rd 20+), even though he has been very successful when he does (10th 20+e). Relative to other QBs, he holds the ball a bit long (11th ttt), but unfortunately, that doesn’t translate into long throws (20th adot). So, he leads a balanced attack that is supported by a highly efficient run game (1st arsr). On early downs in game neutral situations, he passes 51% of the time, which is right about league average (16th ed%). On the year, Wentz has faced average passing defenses in terms of the amount of epa they have given up (0.08 opd). (Glossary of terms at the end of the article) I think it will better set the stage for what an anomaly this game was and remind you, who Wentz really is as a QB. ![]() Before I dive into the joke that was Colts passing in week 15, I’m going to review Carson Wentz’s cumulative stats for the year. I’m going to do things a bit differently this week. Commentary will be brief but feel free to let me know in the comments that stats aren’t everything. I will probably modify the charts throughout the season. Yes, O-Line, receivers, and play-calling impact these numbers but they are primarily QB measures. Thanks to the nflFastR project and NFL NextGen Stats for the timely sources of data.įor those of you new to this, I will publish key QB stats each week judging how well the Colts passing game performed.
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